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Yesterday marked the end of months-long campaigning in Pennsylvania, and I'm almost positive the candidates are glad they get to leave. Since she won, Hillary Clinton is probably just a bit more glad all around. Check out some snapshots from the Pa. campaign trail, all courtesy of the Washington Post.

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Guess the spread

barackary.jpgWherein you, the readers, talk amongst yourselves.

At a certain point tonight, this will be moot. Until then, guess the percent breakdown of tonight's Pennsylvania primary. Shoot for accuracy or expose your wishful thinking — anything goes. Whoever is closest wins!

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PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY UPDATE Turnout in Penn. today is expected to be at least twice the 26 percent that turned out in 2004. This morning, there were rumors that voting machines were breaking down in Philly polling places, but since there's no more mention of that on major Web sites and the Obama campaign isn't singing it from the mountain tops, it must not have been entirely true. Still, the lines are very long and voter-service phone lines across the state are jammed. Clinton plans a victory celebration in downtown Philly tonight, while Obama will fly to Indiana, which has a primary coming up on May 6th, once the polls close. It's clear what outcome they're both expecting. [NYT]

  2 Responses
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Don't Call It A Comeback

Here's a little musical pep talk for Barack Obama for today's Pennsylvania primary, courtesy of LL circa 1991. Although, being a realist, I would go ahead and change those lyrics from "Mama said knock you out" to "Mama said don't lose by double digits."

penn.jpgThe governor of Pennsylvania famously said that the residents of his state were not going to elect a black man in the primary. He got a lot of flack for it. What he didn't say was whether or not they were even ready to elect a woman. Historically, Pennsylvania has elected precious few women or black politicians.

There's no consensus explanation among political operatives and scholars for the political glass ceiling in this state, which currently has only one black and one woman in its 21-member congressional delegation and has never had a black or female governor. Only one black and one woman have ever sought the governorship on a major party ticket… Some believe the concentration of blacks in urban areas works against black candidates for statewide office who must seek votes in predominantly white rural counties once famously compared to Alabama… Pennsylvania's voting-age population is more than 50 percent female and about 10 percent black, but neither group has comparable representation among top state and federal elective offices. One of the worst showings: Only 15 percent of the 253 seats in the Legislature are filled by women, leaving Pennsylvania 43rd nationally.

If you're looking at the state's primary election strictly through race and gender glasses — de rigueur for this campaign season — then polls are showing that Pennsylvanians find a white woman candidate the lesser evil. But what happens in November when the white woman or black man is up against John McCain? Will Pennsylvania turn red? [AP]

ortiz.jpgAre there going to be counselors present at polling stations across the country for rabid Clinton or Obama (it ain't over yet) fans once the Democratic nomination is announced? Because, while it may seem excessive now, just wait. This election has caused people to lose their minds. Case in point: Jose Antonio Ortiz. The Pennsylvania Clinton supporter stabbed his Obama-loving brother-in-law during an argument about politics.

According to a criminal complaint, the 41-year-old Shurelds, an Obama supporter, told Ortiz that the Illinois senator was "trashing" Clinton (apparently in regard to recent primary and caucus results). Ortiz, a Clinton supporter, replied that "Obama was not a realist." While not exactly fighting words, the verbal political tiff led to some mutual choking and punching. And, allegedly, a stabbing in the abdomen.

Ortiz is now in jail. For Clinton's sake, I hope he's out in time to vote in the Pennsylvania primary. [TSG]

Thanks, BMD!

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Philly Ruins Everything For Pennsylvania

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  • Pennsylvania, all innocuous and safe-looking on the map, has the highest rate of African American homicides. People in Dutch country are shaking their heads in confusion. [PP-G]
  • Further north, historians want visitors and inhabitants of New England to know the region's rich African American history. [BG]
  • There's far less rich African American history being made in the business world, where blacks make up just 8.6 percent of senior executives. [NPR]
  • After a black, Honduran immigrant was shot by police in the Bronx this month, NYPD is on the defensive about racial profiling of blacks and Hispanics. When are they not? [NY1]


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